The appropriate model for estimating global horizontal solar radiation for desert areas (Case study: Adrar, Algeria)

A. Babahadj, L. Rahmani, A. Necaibia, K. Bouchouicha

Abstract


Abstract: In this paper, 50 typical models are chosen from the literature correlating the monthly average daily global radiation on horizontal surface to select an appropriate model for desert areas of Algeria (Case of study: Adrar). Meteorological data was monitored during to 2013-2017 for the city of Adrar (27.88°N, -0.27°E) at the Research Unit in Renewable Energies in Saharan Medium (URER.MS) Adrar. The maximum and minimum monthly average daily global radiations on the horizontal surface were observed in the whole year which reached 29.22 MJ.m-2.day-1and 14.94 MJ.m-2.day-1respectively. To select the relevant model among all the proposed models in the literature review, statistical parameters were used to analyze and evaluate the models and choose which one the most appropriate to the Adrar region. To demonstrate the performance comparison of the models, statistical formulas are used in this study such as: the mean percentage error (MPE), mean bias error (MBE), root mean square error (RMSE), maximum absolute relative error (erMAX), t-statistics (ts), mean absolute error (MAE), coefficient of determination (R2) and mean absolute relative error (MARE) test indicators. To strengthen this study we added another specific global performance indicator (GPI), which is considered as an important dependent and useful parameter. The purpose of this comparison is to seek a convenient and accurate model based on the available meteorological data, which through it can estimate the behavior of the global solar radiation in the Adrar region.

Full Text:

PDF

References


Nwokoye, A.; Okonkwo, G. Testing the Predictive Efficiencies of Four Angstrom-Type Models for estimating Solar Radiation in Bida Nigeria. IOSR Journal of Applied Physics 6 (2014) 15–17.

Achour, L.; Bouharkat, M.; Assas, O.; Behar, O. Hybrid model for estimating monthly global solar radiation for the Southern of Algeria: (Case study: Tamanrasset, Algeria). Energy 135 (2017) 526–539.

Adeala, A.; Huan, Z.; Enweremadu, C. Evaluation of global solar radiation using multiple weather parameters as predictors for South Africa provinces. Thermal Science 19 (2015) 495–509.

Ahmad, F. Empirical Models for the Correlation of Monthly Average Daily Global Solar Radiation with Hours of Sunshine on a Horizontal Surface at Karachi, Pakistan. Turk J Phys 28 (2004) 301–307.

Ajayi, O.O.; Ohijeagbon, O.D.; Nwadialo, C.E.; Olasope, O. New model to estimate daily global solar radiation over Nigeria. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments 5 (2014) 28–36.

Aksoy, B. Estimated monthly average global radiation for Turkey and its comparison with observations. Renewable Energy 10 (1997) 625–633.

Almorox, J.; Hontoria, C. Global solar radiation estimation using sunshine duration in Spain. Energy Conversion and Management 45 (2004) 1529–1535.

Aoun, N.; Bouchouicha, K. Simple Correlation Models for Estimation of Horizontal Global Solar Radiation for Oran, Northwest Algeria. International Journal of Engineering Research in Africa 32 (2017) 124–132.

Augustine, C.; Nnabuchi, M. Analysis of some meteorological data for some selected Cities in the Eastern and Southern zone of Nigeria. African Journal of Environmental Science and Technology 4 (2007) 092–099.

Bailek, N.; Bouchouicha, K.; Al-Mostafa, Z.; El-Shimy, M.; Aoun, N.; Slimani, A.; Al-Shehri, S. A new empirical model for forecasting the diffuse solar radiation over Sahara in the Algerian Big South. Renewable Energy 117 (2018) 530–537.

Bakirci, K. Models of solar radiation with hours of bright sunshine: A review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 13 (2009) 2580–2588.

Behar, O.; Khellaf, A.; Mohammedi, K. Comparison of solar radiation models and their validation under Algerian climate – The case of direct irradiance. Energy Conversion and Management 98 (2015) 236–251.

Bouraiou, A.; Hamouda, M.; Chaker, A.; Mostefaoui, M.; Lachtar, S.; Sadok, M.; Boutasseta, N.; Othmani, M.; Issam, A. Analysis and evaluation of the impact of climatic conditions on the photovoltaic modules performance in the desert environment. Energy Conversion and Management 106 (2015) 1345–1355.

Chaiyapinunt, S.; Ruttanasupa, P.; Ariyapoonpong, V.; Duanmeesook, K. A shadow-ring device for measuring diffuse solar radiation on a vertical surface in a tropical zone. Solar Energy 136 (2016) 629–638.

Chegaar, M.; Chibani, A. Global solar radiation estimation in Algeria. Energy Conversion and Management 42 (2001) 967–973.

David, A.; Ngwa, N.R. Global Solar Radiation of Some Regions of Cameroon Using the Linear Angstrom and Non-Linear Polynomial Relations (Part I) Model Development. International Journal of Renewable Energy Research (IJRER) 3 (2013) 984–992.

El-Metwally, M. Sunshine and global solar radiation estimation at different sites in Egypt. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 67 (2005) 1331–1342.

El-Sebaii, A.A.; Trabea, A.A. Estimation of Global Solar Radiation on Horizontal Surfaces Over Egypt. Egypt. J. Solids 28 (2005) 163–175.

Gana, N.N.; Akpootu, D.O. Angstrom Type Empirical Correlation for Estimating Global Solar Radiation in North-Eastern Nigeria. The International Journal Of Engineering And Science (2013) 2319–1813.

Gana, N.N.; Rai, J.K.; Momoh, M. Angstrom Constants for Estimating Solar Radiation in Sokoto, North-Western, Nigeria. International Journal of Scientific & Engineering Research 5 (2014) 1636–1647.

Guermoui, M.; Rabehi, A.; Gairaa, K.; Benkaciali, S. Support vector regression methodology for estimating global solar radiation in Algeria. The European Physical Journal Plus 133 (2018) 22.

Hay, J.E. Calculation of monthly mean solar radiation for horizontal and inclined surfaces. Solar Energy 23 (1979) 301–307.

Hinrichsen, K. The Ångström formula with coefficients having a physical meaning. Solar Energy 52 (1994) 491–495.

Jamil, B.; Akhtar, N. Comparison of empirical models to estimate monthly mean diffuse solar radiation from measured data: Case study for humid-subtropical climatic region of India. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 77 (2017) 1326–1342.

Jin, Z.; Yezheng, W.; Gang, Y. General formula for estimation of monthly average daily global solar radiation in China. Energy Conversion and Management 46 (2005) 257–268.

Jin, Z.; Yezheng, W.; Gang, Y. General formula for estimation of monthly average daily global solar radiation in China. Energy Conversion and Management 46 (2005) 257–268.

Katiyar, A.K.; Pandey, C.K. A Review of Solar Radiation Models—Part I. Journal of Renewable Energy 2013 (2013) 1–11.

Koussa, M.; Malek, A.; Haddadi, M. Statistical comparison of monthly mean hourly and daily diffuse and global solar irradiation models and a Simulink program development for various Algerian climates. Energy Conversion and Management 50 (2009) 1227–1235.

Lewis, G. An empirical relation for estimating global irradiation for Tennessee, U.S.A. Energy Conversion and Management 33 (1992) 1097–1099.

Mecibah, M.S.; Boukelia, T.E.; Tahtah, R.; Gairaa, K. Introducing the best model for estimation the monthly mean daily global solar radiation on a horizontal surface (Case study: Algeria). Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 36 (2014) 194–202.

Mulandzi ST; Sankarau V; Lysko MD. Solar radiation analysis and regression coefficients for the Vhembe Region, Limpopo Province, South Africa. Journal of Energy in Southern Africa 24 (2013) 02–07.

Necaibia, A.; Bouraiou, A.; Ziane, A.; Sahouane, N.; Hassani, S.; Mostefaoui, M.; Dabou, R.; Mouhadjer, S. Analytical assessment of the outdoor performance and efficiency of grid-tied photovoltaic system under hot dry climate in the south of Algeria. Energy Conversion and Management 171 (2018) 778–786.

O, F.E.; O, A.J.; B, R.A. Empirical models for the correlation of global solar radiation with meteorological data for Iseyin, Nigeria. International Journal of Physical Sciences 3 (2008) 210–216.

Ögelman, H.; Ecevit, A.; Tasdemiroǧlu, E. A new method for estimating solar radiation from bright sunshine data. Solar Energy 33 (1984) 619–625.

Ogolo, E.O. Estimation of global solar radiation in Nigeria using a modified Angstrom model and the trend analysis of the allied meteorological components. Indian Journal of Radio & Space Physics 43 (2014) 213–224.

Okonkwo, G.N.; M.Sc. Estimating global solar radiation from temperature data in minna location. European Scientific Journal, ESJ 10 (2014) 254–264.

Olayinka, S. Estimation of global and diffuse solar radiations for selected cities in Nigeria. International Journal of Energy and Environmental Engineering 2 (2011) 13–33.

Ouali, K.; Alkama, R. A new model of global solar radiation based on meteorological data in Bejaia City (Algeria). In Energy ProcediaElsevier, 2014, pp. 670–676.

Quej, V.H.; Almorox, J.; Arnaldo, J.A.; Saito, L. ANFIS, SVM and ANN soft-computing techniques to estimate daily global solar radiation in a warm sub-humid environment. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 155 (2017) 62–70.

Rehman, S. Solar radiation over Saudi Arabia and comparisons with empirical models. Energy 23 (1998) 1077–1082.

Rensheng, C.; Shihua, L.; Ersi, K.; Jianping, Y.; Xibin, J. Estimating daily global radiation using two types of revised models in China. Energy Conversion and Management 47 (2006) 865–878.

Rietveld, M.R. A new method for estimating the regression coefficients in the formula relating solar radiation to sunshine. Agricultural Meteorology 19 (1978) 243–252.

Safari, B.; Gasore, J. Estimation of Global Solar Radiation in Rwanda Using Empirical Models. Asian Journal of Scientific Research 2 (2009) 68–75.

Said, R.; Mansor, M.; Abuain, T. Estimation of global and diffuse radiation at Tripoli. Renewable Energy 14 (1998) 221–227.

Salima, G.; M. S. Chavula, G. Determining Angstrom Constants for Estimating Solar Radiation in Malawi. International Journal of Geosciences 03 (2012) 391–397.

Samuel, T.D.M.A. Estimation of global radiation for Sri Lanka. Solar Energy 47 (1991) 333–337.

Singh, O.P.; Srivastava, S.K.; Gaur, A. Empirical relationship to estimate global radiation from hours of sunshine. Energy Conversion and Management 37 (1996) 501–504.

Stone, R.J. Improved statistical procedure for the evaluation of solar radiation estimation models. Solar Energy 51 (1993) 289–291.

Tijjani, B. Comparison between First and Second Order Angstron Type Models for Sunshine Hours of Katsina, Nigeria. Bayero Journal of Pure and Applied Sciences 4 (2012).

ULGEN, K.; HEPBASLI, A. Solar Radiation Models. Part 2: Comparison and Developing New Models. Energy Sources 26 (2004) 521–530.

Yaniktepe, B.; Genc, Y.A. Establishing new model for predicting the global solar radiation on horizontal surface. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy 40 (2015) 15278–15283.

Yohanna, J.K.; Itodo, I.N.; Umogbai, V.I. A model for determining the global solar radiation for Makurdi, Nigeria. Renewable Energy 36 (2011) 1989–1992.


Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.